Pieter J. Wijngaarden1Ã, Frank van den Bosch2, Michael J. Jeger3
1Laboratory of Genetics, Wageningen University, Arboretumlaan 4, NL-6703 BD Wageningen, The Netherlands
2Biomathematics Unit, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, Hertfordshire AL5 2JQ, UK
3Department of Agricultural Sciences, Imperial College London, Wye Campus, Wye, Ashford, Kent TN25 5AH, UK
Populations of pathogenic organisms often evolve resistance in response to the use of pesticides or anti-biotics. This rise of resistance may be followed by a fall when chemical control is suspended and resistancealleles carry a fitness cost. Another possibility is that mutations at secondary loci compensate for the cost,usually without loss of resistance. This enables resistant types to withstand invasion by the susceptible wild-type; resistance then persists in the population, which reduces the efficacy of future pesticide or antibioticuse. We examined a two-locus model of a haploid organism that adapts to the cost of resistance by a singlecompensatory mutation. We addressed the question how different combinations of cost and compensationand different levels of recombination affect the consequences of a single pesticide application. Resistancewill become fixed in the population when the fraction of the population exposed to pesticide exceeds the costof resistance. Compensatory mutations reduce the cost of resistance and therefore this threshold level of pes-ticide use. In the absence of pesticide, recombination promotes stability of equilibria. In the presence of pes-ticide, recombination accelerates the fixation of resistance and compensating alleles; recombination mayalso enable the persistence of compensated resistant types after pesticide use.
Keywords: cost of resistance; compensatory evolution; pesticides; epistasis; resistance
Mutations that modify the cost can facilitate the evolution
The use of chemicals to control populations of pathogenic
of both attack and defence mechanisms. Compensatory
organisms has often led to the rapid spread of alleles con-
adaptation not only applies to resistance mutations, how-
ever, but also to deleterious mutations in general.
Resistance frequently comes at a cost, however, so that the
showed that deleterious effects of random inser-
susceptible wild-type has a higher fitness than resistant
tion mutations in evolving lines of E. coli were compensated
mutants when antibiotics or pesticides are absent. On the
for while retaining these mutations (see also
positive side, this fitness difference may cause susceptible
for a short review of the experimental literature).
types to return to their dominant position in pathogen
Compensatory mutations are not only of practical
populations when chemical control is suspended
importance but also of theoretical interest: they provide an
opportunity to study the origin and maintenance of gene
the negative side, a cost of resistance selects for mutations
interactions (epistasis) in adaptive evolution. Compensat-
that reduce this cost, usually without loss of resistance.
ing second site mutations make a return to the susceptible
Recent experiments on micro-organisms show the ease
state unlikely, as back mutations at either the resistance
with which the cost of resistance is reduced by mutations
locus or the compensatory locus result in genotypes with a
at secondary loci: the cost of resistance was rapidly com-
lower fitness than both the uncompensated susceptible and
pensated for in streptomycin-resistant Escherichia coli
the compensated resistant genotypes. Hence, it shows how
two loci can become parts of a group of coadapted genes
resistant E. coli and Helicobacter pylori
that effectively prevent reverse evolution
Pesticide and antibiotic resistance have been modelled
extensively (reviewed by and a cost of resistance
Compensatory mutations may also have occurred in
is often taken into account. Subsequent modification of the
organisms where cells are attacked from within, e.g. by
cost is rarely dealt with, however. As compensatory muta-
restriction enzymes or toxins in bacteria
tions may reduce the efficacy of chemical control by slowing
In these systems, cells without protection destroy them-
the decline of resistance, understanding their dynamics is
selves while protection without toxicity is probably costly.
critical. Here we present a simple model of a haploid organ-ism, e.g. a pathogenic fungus, that adapts to the cost ofresistance by a single compensatory mutation. We use both
à Author for correspondence (pieter_wijngaarden@yahoo.com).
analytical solutions (for continuous pesticide use) and
Table 1. Fitness values of the susceptible-uncompensated (SU ), susceptible-compensated (SC ), resistant-uncompensated (RU )and resistant-compensated (RC ) genotypes in unexposed (Wu) and exposed (We) environments. (These environments occur with frequencies 1Àf and f, respectively. Wi is the mean fitness across environments of genotype i. The selection coefficients sr, src and sc represent the cost of resistance without compensation, the cost of resistance with (or after)compensation, and the cost of compensation, respectively.)
simulations (for temporary pesticide use) to examine howselection and recombination affect populations dominated
by the wild-type (susceptible and uncompensated) or the
double mutant (resistant and compensated) genotypes.
2. MODELConsider a large, random-mating population of a haploid
organism with discrete generations. A fraction, f, of this
population is exposed to a pesticide, leaving a fraction, 1Àf,
unexposed. At the first (or resistance) locus the wild-type S
allele renders its bearer susceptible to this pesticide; the
mutant R allele confers resistance but this resistance comes
at a cost (sr > 0). At the second (or compensatory) locus
initial frequency non-compensating allele
the mutant C allele compensates for (part of) the cost of
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
r to src, which may result in src < 0)
whereas the wild-type U allele has no effect on the cost.
Figure 1. The effect of different initial conditions after 25 000
The C allele may be costly, however, when associated with
generations. The grey area corresponds to initial allele
an S allele. lists the genotypes and their fitnesses.
frequencies that result in fixation of the SU genotype; initial
The expected frequency of genotype i after selection
allele frequencies in the white area result in fixation of the RC
genotype. Parameter values: f ¼ 0, sr ¼ 0:25, src ¼ 0:05, sc ¼
and RC ) or À1 (for i ¼ SC and RU ), r is the recombi-
We ignore stochastic effects, migration and mutation so
We will now consider how the conditions for stability are
that we can focus exclusively on the effects of selection and
affected by different values of sr, sc, src and r in both the
absence and presence of pesticide use.
The different outcomes of our model can be explored by
considering the behaviour around the boundary equilibria
of the four genotypes. The matrix of partial derivatives (the
Jacobian matrix) describes the linearized dynamics of the
The first thing to note is that equilibria 2 and 3 will never be
system around these equilibria. The local stability of equi-
stable when, as we assume, sc > 0 and src < sr. Without
librium points can be determined by inspection of the
recombination (r ¼ 0), the first equilibrium is stable when
eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix evaluated at equilib-
sr > 0, src > 0 and sc > 0; equilibrium 4 is unstable in this
rium; stability is indicated when the absolute values of all
case. With r > 0, equilibrium 1 is stable when sr > 0, sc >
four eigenvalues are smaller than unity.
0 and src > 1 À 1 (note that because 0 6 r 6 0:5, non-zero
values for r allow src < 0); equilibrium 4 is stable when
x1 ¼ 1, x2 ¼ 0, x3 ¼ 0 and x4 ¼ 0.
src < sc and src < r. The conditions for stability of these
The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are 0, 1 À sc,
two equilibria are not mutually exclusive and which equi-
librium will be attained depends on the initial allele fre-
x1 ¼ 0, x2 ¼ 1, x3 ¼ 0 and x4 ¼ 0.
quencies With recombination the numerators of
The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are
eigenvalues containing r (these eigenvalues are associated
with genotypes containing alleles not present in the fixed
genotype) become smaller and the conditions for stability
x1 ¼ 0, x2 ¼ 0, x3 ¼ 1 and x4 ¼ 0.
will therefore be more readily fulfilled than without recom-
The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are 1Àf ,
1 ¼ 0, x2 ¼ 0, x3 ¼ 0 and x4 ¼ 1.
Applying pesticide does not inevitably lead to a stable
The eigenvalues of the Jacobian matrix are (1Àf )(1Àr),
equilibrium of one of the resistant genotypes. With r ¼ 0,
equilibrium 1 remains stable as long as f < s
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
fraction of the population exposed to pesticide
Figure 3. Changes in allele frequency under continuous
The effect of recombination (r) and the level of
R allele (solid line) and the C allele (dashed
f ) on the outcome of pesticide use after 25 000
lines). Each dashed line shows a different amount of
generations. Grey area: fixation of SU genotype; white area:
compensation decreasing from left to right. Parameter values:
0:05 and sc ¼ 0:1. The initial frequency of both the S and the
:9, r ¼ 0, sr ¼ 0:1, sc ¼ 0:025. The initial frequencies of
both the R and the C alleles are 0.0001.
sc > 0; when f > sr and f > src, equilibrium 4 is stable. Wetherefore have a threshold level of spraying f > sr that
marks the transition from equilibrium 1 to equilibrium 4
The evolution of sets of interacting genes (coadapted gene
(we assume src < sr so the condition f > src is always met
complexes) is a long-standing problem in evolutionary
when f > sr). With r > 0 and src < f < sr the outcome is
determined by the amount of recombination
Wright’s shifting balance theory of evolution where they
rium 4 whereas higher values for r yield equilibrium 1.
are necessary (but not sufficient) for the occurrence of fit-
ness peaks and valleys. A difficulty is how to cross fitness
r and f ) src the time to fixation of the RC
genotype depends on the reduction of the cost of resistance
valleys: a high-fitness double mutant is unlikely to arise
when intermediate genotypes are rare because of theirlower fitness. It is therefore not surprising that solutions tothis problem (e.g.
usually involve an important role for genetic drift so that
So far we have assumed the continuous presence of pes-
intermediate types can rise in frequency by chance. The
ticide. With increasing values of f, however, the number of
evolution of the cost of resistance points to a way of cir-
generations of pesticide use (s) that suffices to cause fix-
cumventing this problem. When selection temporarily
ation of both R and C alleles decreases; this number can befound by simulation. Obviously, s decreases rapidly when
favours an intermediate genotype it allows this intermedi-
ate to reach a high frequency; the emergence of the double
rc approaches zero but recombination also
reduces s ). This effect of recombination only
mutant is then much more likely. If such an episode of
occurs for low levels of pesticide use; for high values of f
selection leaves no traces (e.g. it did not affect other loci)
there is even a slight increase (not visible in the figure) in s
then, in hindsight, the widespread occurrence of the double
with increasing amounts of recombination.
When pesticides are used for only a short period of time
Adaptation to the cost of resistance makes it easier for
resistance to invade a predominantly susceptible popu-
lation during pesticide use and to persist in that population
may occur via equilibria with x1 ¼ 0, x2 >
once the pesticide has disappeared from the environment.
3 ¼ 0 and x4 > 0. This is illustrated in start-
ing with a mainly susceptible and uncompensated popu-
The conditions for the RC genotype to persist in the
lation less than 39 generations spraying yields equilibrium
absence of chemical control are still stringent, however,
1 while more than 49 generations spraying results in equi-
and require recombination when compensation is not com-
librium 4; 39–49 generations of pesticide use, however,
plete. Fungi are predominantly haploid; however, recombi-
causes fixation of the C allele but not of the R allele.
nation is important in outcrossing and the parasexual cycle.
shows how this result is arrived at for 40 genera-
In strictly asexual organisms, however, other mechanisms
tions of pesticide use: the R allele goes to near-fixation
are needed to maintain RC types in a population.
quickly, but its frequency then declines and remains ‘fro-
suggest that bottleneck effects can account for
zen’ at a frequency of 0.92. The C allele, however, rises
only slowly in frequency. The timing and duration
compensatory mutations occur more often than reversals
(in terms of number of generations of pesticide use) of the
they are more likely to pass through bottlenecks; they can
internal equilibria depend on f: the higher the value of f, the
therefore remain in the population despite their lower fit-
earlier and shorter this transitional spraying period.
ness. This mechanism will especially work for mutations
Figure 4. The minimum number of generations spraying (s)
that results in fixation of the RC genotype for different levels ofpesticide use ( f ); and (a) different reduced costs of resistance
(src) and (b) different recombination rates (r). Parameter
values: (a) sr ¼ 0:2, sc ¼ 0:1 and r ¼ 0; (b) sr ¼ 0:3, src ¼0:2 and sc ¼ 0:1. The initial frequency of both the S and the U
Figure 5. The result of temporary pesticide use. (a) The
outcome after 25 000 generations with pesticide use in the first30–50 generations. Open circles, SU genotype; filled circles,
with small effect as these are expected to arise more often
RC genotype; squares, SC genotype. Parameter values:
r ¼ 0:125, f ¼ 0:5, sr ¼ 0:15, src ¼ 0:05, sc ¼ 0:05. The initial
Some of the results we presented apply to evolutionary
frequency of both the S and the U allele is 0.9999. (b) Changesin allele frequencies after 40 generations of pesticide use. Solid
rather than ecological time-scales. When only a small part
line, R allele; dashed line, C allele. Parameter values:
of the pathogen population is exposed to pesticide it may
r ¼ 0:125, f ¼ 0:5, sr ¼ 0:15, src ¼ 0:05, sc ¼ 0:05. The initial
take thousands of generations until the RC genotype
frequencies of both the R and the C allele are 0.0001.
becomes fixed. However, when most of the population isexposed, fixation occurs within tens of generations,especially when there is recombination. Important here is
breaking up the combinations RC (at the SU boundary) or
our assumption that compensating alleles are already
SU (at the RC boundary). At the SU boundary, recombi-
present in the population. An additional ‘waiting time’
nation even allows src to take negative values so that RC
would have to be taken into account when compensating
types have a higher fitness than the wild-type SU. With
alleles have to be introduced into the population by
constant pesticide levels recombination affects the equili-
mutation or migration. looked at the time
bria when src < f < sr: in this range little or no recombi-
to fixation of compensatory mutations in a situation com-
nation (and therefore little or no decoupling of R and C
parable to our unsprayed environment (i.e. both resistance
alleles) benefits the RC genotype whereas high recombi-
and compensatory alleles are deleterious individually). He
nation rates cancel the RC genotype’s fitness advantage in
showed that the average waiting time can be extremely long
the sprayed part of the population. A similar effect is seen
in both small populations (where mutations are rare) and
with temporary pesticide use where recombination has the
large populations (where selection is very effective). In our
effect of considerably shortening the time to fixation.
case, however, resistance and compensatory alleles may
So far we have not dealt with the nature of the cost of
already be at a high frequency as a result of recent pesticide
resistance nor have we been explicit about the mechan-
ism(s) by which compensation is achieved. However, by
In the absence of pesticide use two boundary equilibria
assigning fitness values 1Àsr and 1Àsrc, respectively, to the
are possible, depending on the initial allele frequencies and
RU and RC genotypes in both the presence and absence of
recombination rate. The initial allele frequencies will
pesticide we implicitly assumed that the cost is not con-
mainly depend on the history of selection (i.e. pesticide
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use). The effect of recombination is a consequence of
resistance is costly only in the absence of pesticide (and the
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